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--- blog:2020-03-22:covid-19_spread_part_ii [2020/04/17 15:50] – va7fi
+++ blog:2020-03-22:covid-19_spread_part_ii [2020/08/07 13:03] (current) – external edit 127.0.0.1
@@ Line 4: / Line 4: @@
   * I'm not an epidemiologist, doctor, or any kind of expert on the subject.  I just look at the numbers.
   * This was originally written on Sunday March 22nd.
-  * Jump straight to the [[#april_12th_update |latest update]]
 </WRAP>
+<WRAP center round tip 90%>
+  * Jump straight to the [[#april_17th_update |latest update]].
+</WRAP>
@@ Line 135: / Line 139: @@
 |<100% >|
 |  <fc #4682b4>Logistic 1</fc>  |  <fc #800000>Logistic 2</fc>  |  <fc #008000>Logistic 3</fc>  |
-|  $$N = \frac{2660}{1 + e^{-0.32(t - 21.1)}}$$  |  $$N = \frac{12000}{1 + e^{-0.232(t - 30)}}$$  |  $$N = \frac{20000}{1 + e^{-0.24(t - 32)}}$$  |
+|  \$$N = \frac{2660}{1 + e^{-0.32(t - 21.1)}}\$$  |  \$$N = \frac{12000}{1 + e^{-0.232(t - 30)}}\$$  |  \$$N = \frac{20000}{1 + e^{-0.24(t - 32)}}\$$  |
 </hidden>
 \\
@@ Line 273: / Line 277: @@
 The number of cases and the number of deaths are reported daily.  The Death Rate is a calculation:
 <WRAP centeralign>
-$$\text{Death Rate} = \frac{\text{\# of Deaths}}{\text{\# of Reported Cases}}$$
+\text{Death Rate} = \frac{\text{\# of Deaths}}{\text{\# of Reported Cases}}
 </WRAP>
@@ Line 383: / Line 387: @@
 ==== Positive Result Rate ====
 Another number that is very interesting to look at is the number of positive cases per 100 tests performed.  Here, it's not obvious what's good:
-  * A low number could mean that we are testing uninfected people just to make sure (health care workers for example).  But it could also mean that we are sending infected people home to self issolate without testing them (the way BC has been doing it for weeks now).
+  * A low number could mean that we are testing uninfected people just to make sure (health care workers for example).  But it could also mean that we are sending infected people home to self isolate without testing them (the way BC has been doing it for weeks now).
   * A high number could mean that we are testing people that are more obviously infected.  But it could also mean that we are not testing enough people "just to make sure".
-At any rate, There's a clear devide between the west and the east here and I'm not sure what to make of it.
+At any rate, There's a clear divide between the west and the east here and I'm not sure what to make of it.
   * AB:	2.5%
   * BC:	2.7%