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blog:2021-03-20:covid-19_spread_part_iii [2021/03/20 14:11] – [The doubling time] va7fiblog:2021-03-20:covid-19_spread_part_iii [2021/04/02 07:41] (current) va7fi
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   * [[blog/2020-03-22/covid-19_spread_part_ii |Part II]] (written at the beginning of April 2020) looked at different logistics models that we could fall on depending on how hard we worked at flattening the curve. {{ blog/2020-03-22/covid19log2b.png }}   * [[blog/2020-03-22/covid-19_spread_part_ii |Part II]] (written at the beginning of April 2020) looked at different logistics models that we could fall on depending on how hard we worked at flattening the curve. {{ blog/2020-03-22/covid19log2b.png }}
  
-That didn't happen.  As of today, we have 927,069 cases country-wide. +That didn't happen either.  As of today, we have 927,069 cases country-wide. 
 {{ blog:2021-03-20:total_covid-19_count.png }} {{ blog:2021-03-20:total_covid-19_count.png }}
  
-The reality is much more complicated than either of these two simple models (exponential and logistics).  But they are non-the-less still very useful to break things down into different parts:+The reality is much more complicated than either of these two simple models (exponential and logistics).  But they are nonetheless still very useful to break things down into different parts:
   * From the beginning until June 2020, the infection curve was roughly logistics with a plateau of a little over 100,000 cases (the first wave).   * From the beginning until June 2020, the infection curve was roughly logistics with a plateau of a little over 100,000 cases (the first wave).
   * But then in September 2020 it kicked into exponential gears again (the second wave).   * But then in September 2020 it kicked into exponential gears again (the second wave).
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 ===== BC, Alberta, Canada ===== ===== BC, Alberta, Canada =====
-Finally, I do this same analysis for BC and Alberta as well as Canada.  The spreadsheet includes the calculations, the raw data, and the source of the data on the [[https://www.canada.ca/en/public-health/services/diseases/2019-novel-coronavirus-infection.html |government website]].  I'll probably be updating the numbers every week or two.+Finally, I do this same analysis for BC and Alberta as well as Canada.  The [[https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1i2hKBx4Yy_yWYtx8Qj68ojaHCJN9lDLaORSlM9Ot1g4 |spreadsheet]] includes the calculations, the raw data, and the source of the data on the [[https://www.canada.ca/en/public-health/services/diseases/2019-novel-coronavirus-infection.html |government website]].  I'll probably be updating the numbers every week or two.
  
blog/2021-03-20/covid-19_spread_part_iii.1616274685.txt.gz · Last modified: 2021/03/20 14:11 by va7fi